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SPACE ENVIRONMENT FORECAST
FRI ,  Aug 19 , 2022
SAT ,  Aug 20 , 2022
SUN ,  Aug 21 , 2022
DAILY REPORTS
 
Space Environment Summary
During the past 24 hours, solar activity was moderate. Five sunspot regions were on the visible disk with one M-class and several C-class flares produced. The solar wind speed reached a peak of about 670 km/s. Due to the effect of the coronal high speed stream and CMEs, the geomagnetic field reached minor storm levels for 3 hours, active levels for 6 hours and quiet to unsettled levels for the rest time.
Published: 2022-08-20 00:30 UTC
Forecaster: 040/026
 
Space Environment Forecast
Within the next three days, solar activity is expected to be low to moderate with a chance for M-class flares. The geomagnetic field is expected to reach isolated storm levels on 20 Aug due to the effect of the coronal high speed stream and CMEs. It will be quiet to unsettled for the rest time.The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached minor storm levels on 20-22 Aug.
Published: 2022-08-20 00:30 UTC
Forecaster: 040/026
 
F10.7 Index Ap Index
The 10.7-cm solar radio flux forecast for the next 24/48/72 hours.
Geomagnetic Ap index forecast for the next 24/48/72 hours.
24HR 48HR 72HR
105 102 100
24HR 48HR 72HR
21 15 10
 
Solar X-ray Flare Geomagnetic Storm
Probabilities for M and X class solar flares for the next 24/48/72 hours. Probabilities for minor and major disturbances in Geomagnetic field for the next 24/48/72 hours.
CLASS 24HR 48HR 72HR
M 50% 40% 30%
X 5% 1% 1%
CLASS 24HR 48HR 72HR
Minor 50% 20% 1%
Major 10% 1% 1%
 
Solar Proton Event Relativisitic Electron Enhancement
Probabilities for solar proton event for the next 24/48/72 hours.
Probabilities for GEO relativistic electrons enhancement event for the next 24/48/72 hours.
24HR 48HR 72HR
1% 1% 1%
24HR 48HR 72HR
50% 50% 50%
right_bar
24-hr Max:C6.7
Peak Time:2022 Aug 19 20:31 UTC
 
Updated:2022 Aug 20 06:14 UTC
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Current 5-min:2.853e-1 /cm2.sr.s
24-hr Max:5.664e-1 /cm2.sr.s
 
Updated:2022 Aug 20 06:05 UTC
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Speed:594.7 km/sec
Density:8.5 protons/cm3
 
Updated:2022 Aug 20 06:12 UTC
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Current:Kp=4
24-hr Max:Kp=5
 
Updated:2022 Aug 20 03:00 UTC
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Current 5-min:4.000e+0 /cm2.sr.s
Integral Flux:5.379e+7 /cm2.sr.day
 
Updated:2022 Aug 20 06:05 UTC
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10.7cm Flux:105 sfu
 
Update:2022 Aug 19 UTC
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SSN:74
 
Update:2022 Aug 19 UTC
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