You are here: Home>Forecasts>Daily Forecast
SPACE ENVIRONMENT FORECAST
MON ,  Aug 21 , 2017
TUE ,  Aug 22 , 2017
WED ,  Aug 23 , 2017
DAILY REPORTS
 
Space Environment Summary
During the past 24 hours, solar activity was moderate. There were two active regions on the visible disk, which produced a M1.1 flare and 4 C-class flares. Due to the persistent effects of the recurrent coronal hole high speed stream, the solar wind speed reached a peak of 800 km/s, and the geomagnetic field reached minor storm levels for 6 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at minor storm levels.
Published: 2017-08-21 00:10 UTC
Forecaster: 035/026
 
Space Environment Forecast
Within the next three days, solar activity is expected to be moderate with a chance for M-class flares. The geomagnetic field is expected to reach isolated active levels on 21 Aug due to the recurrent coronal hole high speed stream. It will be quiet to unsettled on 22-23 Aug. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to reach moderate storm levels on the next three days.
Published: 2017-08-21 00:10 UTC
Forecaster: 035/026
 
F10.7 Index Ap Index
The 10.7-cm solar radio flux forecast for the next 24/48/72 hours.
Geomagnetic Ap index forecast for the next 24/48/72 hours.
24HR 48HR 72HR
88 90 90
24HR 48HR 72HR
12 8 8
 
Solar X-ray Flare Geomagnetic Storm
Probabilities for M and X class solar flares for the next 24/48/72 hours. Probabilities for minor and major disturbances in Geomagnetic field for the next 24/48/72 hours.
CLASS 24HR 48HR 72HR
M 50% 50% 30%
X 1% 1% 1%
CLASS 24HR 48HR 72HR
Minor 10% 1% 1%
Major 1% 1% 1%
 
Solar Proton Event Relativisitic Electron Enhancement
Probabilities for solar proton event for the next 24/48/72 hours.
Probabilities for GEO relativistic electrons enhancement event for the next 24/48/72 hours.
24HR 48HR 72HR
1% 1% 1%
24HR 48HR 72HR
90% 90% 70%
right_bar
24-hr Max:C9.4
Peak Time:2017 Aug 20 19:39 UTC
 
Updated:2017 Aug 21 06:05 UTC
>>more data<<
Current 5-min:2.320e-1 /cm2.sr.s
24-hr Max:5.280e-1 /cm2.sr.s
 
Updated:2017 Aug 21 06:00 UTC
>>more data<<
Speed:673.2 km/sec
Density:7.6 protons/cm3
 
Updated:2017 Aug 21 06:00 UTC
>>more data<<
Current:Kp=3
24-hr Max:Kp=5
 
Updated:2017 Aug 21 03:00 UTC
>>more data<<
Current 5-min:1.030e+4 /cm2.sr.s
Integral Flux:8.234e+8 /cm2.sr.day
 
Updated:2017 Aug 21 06:00 UTC
>>more data<<
10.7cm Flux:86 sfu
 
Update:2017 Aug 20 UTC
>>more data<<
SSN:44
 
Update:2017 Aug 20 UTC
>>more data<<